On Prediction, Action and Interference
Abstract: Ultimately, we want the world to be less unfair by changing it. Just making fair passive predictions is not enough, so our decisions will eventually have an effect on how a societal system works. We will discuss ways of modelling hypothetical interventions so that particular measures of counterfactual fairness are respected: that is, how are sensitivity attributes interacting with our actions to cause an unfair distribution outcomes, and that being the case how do we mitigate such uneven impacts within the space of feasible actions? To make matters even harder, interference is likely: what happens to one individual may affect another. We will discuss how to express assumptions about and consequences of such causative factors for fair policy making, accepting that this is a daunting task but that we owe the public an explanation of our reasoning.
Joint work with Matt Kusner, Chris Russell and Joshua Loftus
Bio: Ricardo Silva is an Associate Professor at the Department of Statistical Science at University College London and Adjunct Faculty of the Gatsby Computational Neuroscience Unit. Prior to that, He got his PhD from the newly formed Machine Learning Department at Carnegie Mellon University in 2005. Ricardo also spent two years at the Gatsby Computational Neuroscience Unit as a Senior Research Fellow, and one year as a postdoctoral researcher at the Statistical Laboratory in Cambridge. His research focuses on computational approaches for causal inference, graphical latent variable models and relational models.